Diagnostics of the Economic Component of Sustainable Development of Agro-Industrial Market Systems of Ukraine in the Context of Resilience
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.58423/2786-6742/2026-13-229-256Keywords:
agro-industrial market systems, sustainable development, resilience, diagnostics, dynamics, investments, innovations, development trajectoryAbstract
The shift in Ukraine's strategic objectives for its recovery, amid various challenges and threats, necessitates the modernization of the sustainable development indicator system based on a resilience-oriented approach. The paper proposes a set of indicators for diagnosing the economic component of sustainable development of agro-industrial market systems, which comprehensively characterize various aspects of sustainability, in particular, the stability of commodity production, price volatility in domestic and external markets, accessibility of food products for the population, and investment and innovation dynamics of markets. This study empirically analyzes the dynamics of key indicators of the economic dimension of balanced development in Ukraine’s agro-industrial markets during the wartime period. The results show that agricultural markets exhibited greater variability in key indicators than food markets over 2022–2024. The assessment of investment dynamics across different segments of the agro-industrial system reveals specific development trends, including the reconstruction of fixed assets, enhanced resilience, and accelerated economic recovery. Furthermore, under conditions of heightened risk, price volatility remained high in both agricultural and food markets, although fluctuations in production and consumer prices declined as markets adapted to wartime challenges in 2023–2024. Based on diagnostic results, the development trajectory and adaptation trends of Ukraine's agricultural and food markets under wartime conditions were determined. The study finds that the dynamics and pace of change differ between export-oriented and domestic markets, which possess distinct structural characteristics, resource bases, and responses to external threats. A common pattern across agri-food markets is observed: a sharp decline in key socio-economic indicators in 2022 due to external shocks, followed by gradual recovery in 2023 and the realization of adaptive capacity in 2024, accompanied by capacity contraction and increased openness to international trade. The findings highlight that the volatility of key indicators requires the development of resilience strategies based on endogenous growth within related market systems. The study’s scientific contribution lies in advancing methodological and analytical support for market diagnostics and for formulating modernization strategies for agro-industrial market systems in both wartime and post-war contexts.
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