Hybrid Strategic Framework for Ukraine’s Spatial Development: Scenario-Integrated Economic Management Model
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.58423/2786-6742/2025-10-181-200Keywords:
spatial development, strategizing, scenario modeling, macro-regional zones, economic management, managerial mechanisms, hybrid model, reconstruction, institutional supportAbstract
The article addresses the problem of strategic management of Ukraine’s spatial development in the context of post-war transformation, when interregional disparities, resource asymmetry, and functional fragmentation of regions highlight the need for a new methodology of state regulation. It is substantiated that traditional models of spatial planning and unified approaches to strategizing demonstrate limited effectiveness under conditions of deep regional polarization and the variability of development scenarios. In response to these challenges, a model of hybrid strategizing of spatial development is proposed, which integrates tools of scenario-based modeling, functional-territorial typology, and mechanisms of integrated economic management. A typology of seven macro-regional zones of Ukraine has been carried out according to their scenario-based development formats (reconstructive, stabilizing, recovery-oriented, rehabilitative, innovation-expansive).
The concept of the Strategy for Scenario-Differentiated Integrated Management of Ukraine’s Reconstructive Spatial Development for 2025–2035 is presented and substantiated as a systemic document of strategic reconstruction that reflects the functional complementarity of territories and ensures a balance between local needs and national priorities. The feasibility of structuring spatial development management mechanisms into four interrelated blocks—coordination, transformation, stabilization, and institutional support—is argued. Particular attention is given to the development of an interzonal interaction scheme between macro-regional zones as a tool for synchronizing managerial actions, achieving spatial coherence, and ensuring scenario-based adaptation. The findings demonstrate that hybrid strategizing of reconstructive spatial development is not only a response to wartime and post-war challenges, but also an effective long-term instrument for improving spatial policy and ensuring sustainable economic governance. The implementation of the proposed model creates methodological and practical prerequisites for building an integrated system of economic management of regional development, oriented toward functional specialization, optimization of resource flows, scenario balancing, and the achievement of interregional synergy. The results presented in the article provide a theoretical foundation for further applied developments in the field of spatial policy, institutional support, and economic management of Ukraine’s reconstruction under conditions of growing multidimensional threats and risks.
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